Less than 1% of Larvesta eggs in Pokemon Go have been reported to hatch

The likelihood of Larvesta hatching from eggs is less than 1%, according to recent research by Pokemon Go players.

With a diverse player base and admirers from all around the world, Pokemon Go has developed quite the following. The mobile game’s attraction is easy to understand, from its adorable creatures to its real-world reward that encourages outdoor exploration.

Unfortunately, Pokemon Go has drawbacks, as is the case with all pleasurable things. Players are well aware of the many immersion-breaking problems and poor design decisions in the game.

Some Pokemon Go players have worked together to determine the precise hatch rate of the brand-new Larvesta Pokemon in the game, taking to social media to share their findings. If their findings are accurate, the likelihood of hatching a Larvesta is quite slim—less than 1%.

Pokemon Go players estimate that the Larvesta hatch rate is less than 1%.

Players computed the Larvesta hatch rate and posted it on Reddit, where disappointed fans commented. Less than 1% of eligible eggs laid at distances of 2 km, 5 km, and 10 km hatched, as observed for Larvesta.

It took a staggering average of 246 eggs—or 1,136 kilometers—to hatch one Larvesta, according to the researchers charged with discovering these low rates. To get the 400 sweets needed to evolve one Larvesta into a Volcarona, a typical player would then have to travel almost 19,000 kilometers.

Frustrated with the numbers, other admirers left comments on the page. One commenter merely wrote “criminal,” while another claimed the low rate was “hitting on the standard shiny rate.” Some players seized the chance to share their own bad fortune.

One fortunate Pokemon Go user noted that they “hatched one on my 4th event egg” and “should buy a lottery ticket.” Looks like you should buy at least four, someone said. Another person added, “No point in buying one, already used up your luck,” in response.

I hope Niantic pays attention to how its playerbase feels. Many made outright criticisms of the creators, claiming things like “This company is choking the life out of this game” and that the low catch rate was “A new low, even for Niantic standards.”

This announcement comes in the wake of the company’s contentious wage offer and other in-game gaffes like the Bundle Box pricing, all of which have eroded player support and added to growing community resentment.